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Wednesday 20th of September 2017 07:37:02 AM
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. Italy, France and Germany will grow faster than Britain next year as Brexit uncertainty continues to weigh on consumer confidence and deter much-needed business investment, according to the latest economic forecasts by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development. ... [Read full article on Guardian ]
Wednesday 20th of September 2017 09:00:02 AM
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Latest Finance News related to Forecast

B&Q owner Kingfisher won't let its European DIY firms do their own thing | Nils Pratley image
.... The superficially simple plan to put near-identical ranges into chains in the UK, France, Poland, Spain and so on, yielded “disruption,” meaning stock shortages, in year one of ONE. The better news in Wednesday’s half-year update is that Laury is sticking to her forecasts, including the £500m. ...
UK growth will trail Italy, France and Germany next year, says OECD image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 20th of September 2017 09:00:02 AM
. Italy, France and Germany will grow faster than Britain next year as Brexit uncertainty continues to weigh on consumer confidence and deter much-needed business investment, according to the latest economic forecasts by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development. ...
Public inquiry needed into UK's £200bn debt crisis, say senior MPs image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 19th of September 2017 12:50:07 PM
....According to the Money Advice Service, there are now 8. 3 million people in the UK with problem debts while the government’s official economic forecaster, the Office for Budget Responsibility, has predicted that unsecured consumer debt – which includes loans, credit cards, overdrafts and car financing – will soar as a proportion of national income over the next four years back above its previous peak in 2007. ...
Ryanair to tell 400,000 passengers of cancelled flights after roster 'mess-up' image
.... Analysts at Dublin-based Goodbody Stockbrokers said the final bill was likely to be €34. 5m as they marked down Ryanair’s full-year profit forecast by 2. ...
Ryanair vows to publish details of all flights cancelled in next six weeks image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Monday 18th of September 2017 02:23:23 PM
....5m (£30. 4m) as they marked down Ryanair’s full-year profit forecast by 2. ...
Mortgage alert: Interest rates will rise FOUR times by end of 2018, economists forecast  image
....The cost of borrowing is set to jump if the Bank of England lifts the base rate for the first time in a decade in November as expected. But this will mark the beginning of a dramatic change in policy and the start of may more rate increases in 2018, according to forecasts from Capital Economics. ...
Driving force: are electric cars crowding out traditional engines? image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 15th of September 2017 01:35:15 PM
....The summer of love for battery cars prompted newspaper editorials heralding the end of the internal combustion engine. One bank even forecast that all new car sales in Europe would be electric within two decades. ...
UN report attacks austerity budgets for growing inequality image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 14th of September 2017 06:00:52 PM
....Last year’s annual report highlighted fears of a debt crisis in developing countries as the threat of falling commodity prices and higher interest rates mounted. Low interest rates and the stimulus from quantitative easing have remained in place, easing the threat, but only in response to gloomy forecasts for GDP growth should either be withdrawn. ...
Northern Rock investors' compensation claim just doesn't stand up | Nils Pratley image
.... Now he’s turning them on again. He’s feeling more confident, thus a modest 1% tickle to his profit forecast for the year provoked a 13% rise in the share price. ...
Next softens doom and gloom forecasts despite fall in profits image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 14th of September 2017 08:32:17 AM
....Nonetheless Lord Wolfson said its performance over the summer months had been encouraging on a “number of fronts” with its new autumn ranges well received by shoppers. The improving trend saw the retailer up its sales and profit forecasts for the full year, propelling its shares to the top of the FTSE 100 leader board. ...
G4S may make more profit than allowed from removal centres, figures suggest image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 13th of September 2017 05:36:45 PM
....2m on Tinsley House IRC. The company made £2m more than it had forecast on Brook House despite receiving £89,574 less from the Home Office than it had asked for to run it. ...
UK wage rises lag behind inflation despite lowest jobless rate since 1975 image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 13th of September 2017 10:07:10 AM
.... Employers were expected to halt recruitment, if not lay off workers, in response to slowing consumer spending and weak business investment. The Bank of England is not forecast to increase interest rates on Thursday when its monetary policy committee meets, though it is likely to warn that rising inflation might need to be calmed with a hike in credit costs should it persist into next year. ...
Families squeezed to brink as inflation beats wages -but unemployment sinks to 42-year low image
....The Bank of England could raise interest rates to help bring inflation down. However, policymakers may prefer to stay in wait and see mode, as it forecasts wage growth will rise to three per cent next year, while inflation falls back towards the two per cent. ...
Hammond eases public sector pay cap, but the squeeze goes on image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 12th of September 2017 06:22:02 PM
.... The consumer prices index has hit 2. 9% and according to most forecasters is likely to go higher as the year draws to a close. ...
UK cost-of-living crisis grows as dearer imports push inflation to 2.9% image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 12th of September 2017 09:36:14 AM
....The Bank of England will give its verdict on the economy on Thursday, when it will judge how much the pay squeeze from below inflation wage rises is having on GDP growth. In its most recent state-of-the-nation report, Threadneedle Street’s monetary policy committee (MPC) said it expected inflation to plateau at around 3% before falling back while wages were forecast to maintain their current upward trajectory, possibly bringing to an end the recent fall in real incomes by the end of the year. ...
YOUR mortgage is about to rise sharply - but Bank of England says no-one listening image
Source : Daily Express [Read Article] Monday 11th of September 2017 01:17:00 PM
....25 per cent since last August. And if growth continues in line with policymaker forecasts, it will be hiked in the coming months, the Bank said last month. ...
Donald Trump's 3% growth plan is only for the 1% | Kenneth Rogoff image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Monday 11th of September 2017 01:09:01 PM
....Donald Trump has boasted that his policies will produce sustained 3%-4% growth for many years to come. His prediction flies in the face of the judgment of many professional forecasters, including on Wall Street and at the Federal Reserve, who expect that the US will be lucky to achieve even 2% growth. ...
To understand the UK's low-pay crisis, Mark Carney needs to get out more | Phillip Inman image
....1% in the latest figures. It will take a surge in wage rates to get past 3% to meet Pickering’s forecast of inflation-busting pay rises, but as he points out, three months of improving pay growth shows it is going in the right direction. ...
The $1tn question: how far can the new iPhone 8 take Apple? image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Saturday 9th of September 2017 03:00:11 PM
....Apple seems confident. For the current quarter, it has forecast revenues of $49bn-$52bn, which would represent growth of between 4% and 11% from a year ago, and bring its performance back to 2015 levels. ...
Shelling out: Britons go nuts for coconut water image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 8th of September 2017 01:56:10 PM
.... Now coconut water has become the UK’s fastest-growing soft drink. Annual sales have broken the £100m mark for the first time – and are forecast to quadruple over the next five years. ...
UK exports outside EU fall despite weak pound image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 8th of September 2017 10:42:19 AM
....In a damaging development for the government, housing orders were down almost 10% on a year ago with public housing the worst affected. Howard Archer, the chief economic adviser to the EY Item Club forecasting group, described the trade, construction and manufacturing data as a “mixed bag” that showed the upbeat signals from some manufacturing industry surveys was starting to register in official data, though the trade and construction data “point to a UK economy still struggling to break out of sluggish growth”. ...
UK economy 'treading water' as eurozone stretches ahead, says BCC image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 8th of September 2017 05:01:30 AM
....The British Chambers of Commerce said a squeeze on household budgets and the failure of exporters to capitalise on the low pound meant the UK was “treading water”. In the latest downbeat view of Britain’s prospects as the Brexit date nears, the BCC cut its growth rate forecast for 2018 to 1. ...
Amazon seeks prime North American spot for second headquarters image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 7th of September 2017 03:06:03 PM
....“It seems that Amazon will be looking at incentive packages to be offered by states/cities,” Burbidge said. “Whether those be tax/other financial incentives or other support and favourable conditions for its capital and operating expenditure forecast. ...
We’re addicted to debt and headed for a crash. It could be worse than 2007 | Zoe Williams image
.... Just on the balance of probabilities we are due a downturn – no decade has passed without one since the 70s. Very few people, outside the delusional bubble of Brexit enthusiasts, are forecasting much growth. ...
Why economic forecasting has always been a flawed science image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Saturday 2nd of September 2017 06:00:07 AM
.... This has since become something of a mantra, and polling does indeed suggest that most people place little trust in expert predictions and pronouncements. One of the problems with economic forecasting is that a small change in a few variables can make predictions almost impossibly complex. ...
Contactless means your car keys are the debit card of the future image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Saturday 2nd of September 2017 06:00:07 AM
....This summer Visa hosted the UK’s first contactless music festival, BoardMasters, where every retailer was offered the chance to go contactless, cutting queues and thus waiting times. Barclaycard is forecasting that spending this way will soar by more than 300% over the next four years as seven in 10 Brits begin to use it more frequently for everyday purchases. ...
Former Provident Financial chief forfeits £4m after profit warning image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 1st of September 2017 05:56:36 PM
....7bn off its stock market value. The dramatic fall came after Provident warned that its home credit division could lose up to £120m this year compared with a prediction of a £60m profit just two months ago, a forecast that was already a downgrade on previous expectations. ...
UK manufacturing beats forecasts with strong growth in August image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 1st of September 2017 10:00:34 AM
....3 in July, the second-highest level in more than three years, helped by the weak value of the pound. That confounded forecasts for a modest slowdown to 55. ...
US GDP beats forecasts with 3% growth, as markets recover from Korea shock - as it happened image
...
Related to :
Total Harvey cost could be as high as $100bn, says insurance expert image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 29th of August 2017 12:18:16 PM
. With the catastrophic Texas floods triggered by the former Hurricane Harvey expected to worsen, early estimates suggest the financial damage it has inflicted has already run into tens of billions of dollars, and one forecaster has predicted the final bill could be as high as $100bn (£77bn). ...
How can small businesses beat the Brexit blues? image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 29th of August 2017 11:55:12 AM
....”. Chris Barnard, accountancy technical manager at Crunch Accounting, forecasts that “changes to tax will undoubtedly occur, with VAT being a prime candidate since our VAT mechanism is currently linked to EU rules”, says Barnard. ...
Dixons Carphone warns on profits as customers keep phones for longer image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 24th of August 2017 07:26:47 AM
....In an unscheduled trading statement, the company, which trades as Currys, PC World and Carphone Warehouse, said it now expects profits in the range of £360 to £440m this year, down from £501m last year. Analysts had been forecasting annual profits of £495m. ...
Why ECB president is still flooding the system with cheap money image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 23rd of August 2017 06:17:13 PM
.... The mismatch with profits had grown to levels not seen since the crash, so at the very least a correction in share prices was likely. Booming stock markets are not supposed to be a crucial element in the mix of factors underpinning sustainable economic forecasts. ...
Big UK firms face 2018 slowdown amid Brexit uncertainty, study finds image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 23rd of August 2017 10:24:55 AM
....The long-term effects of the Brexit vote on the economy will become clear next year when profit growth at some of the UK’s largest companies is expected to drop considerably, according to a new study. An analysis of forecasts for 2018 gives a grim view on the future for some of the UK’s biggest companies, with expectations that there will be a marked slowdown. ...
Brexit economy: outlook positive but rocky negotiations could bring instability image
.... Meanwhile, spending on food helped to support growth in retail sales, despite a drop in spending across all other sectors, as consumers exercise more caution amid a squeeze on household budgets. But despite the positive signs for UK, defying the gloomiest forecasts before the referendum for a Brexit recession, clouds are gathering as ministers prepare for more talks with Brussels after a summer lull. ...
WPP faces worst year in a decade as advertisers cut spending image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 23rd of August 2017 06:50:30 AM
. Sir Martin Sorrell has warned of a global economic slowdown as WPP slashed its growth forecast for the second time, leaving the world’s largest advertising group facing its worst year in a decade. ...
Airports call for urgent post-Brexit deal on UK-EU flights image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 22nd of August 2017 05:07:10 PM
....”. While the worst-case scenario from the economists’ modelling would see 8 million fewer passengers in 2019, their central forecast is 2. ...
UK public finances notch up first July surplus since 2002 image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 22nd of August 2017 09:50:40 AM
.... “Despite July’s strength the chancellor may still find that he has little scope for any easing back on the planned fiscal squeeze in his November budget,” said Ruth Gregory, UK economist. The Office for Budget Responsibility, the Treasury’s independent forecaster, expects £58. ...
Provident Financial sees nearly £1.7bn wiped off stock market value image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 22nd of August 2017 09:40:50 AM
....3m in pay and bonuses last year, stepped down with immediate effect, with Manjit Wolstenholme becoming executive chairman. Provident, which downgraded forecasts for its consumer credit division to a profit of £60m two months ago, now expects the business to suffer losses of up to £120m in the current financial year. ...
BHP’s shale sale could happen: this is not a drill image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 20th of August 2017 06:00:35 AM
....Jacob Rees-Mogg, the Conservative politician famed for never having changed a nappy and definitely not wanting to be prime minister, this week tweeted the good news that unemployment had fallen to a 42-year low. This, he suggested, gave the lie to the “Brexit disaster forecast by HM Treasury”. ...
Euro slides on ECB currency concerns - as it happened image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 17th of August 2017 07:14:46 AM
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IMF warns China over 'dangerous' growth in debt image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 15th of August 2017 06:37:23 PM
....The IMF used its annual health check on the world’s second biggest economy to stress that faster expansion in 2017 was coming at the cost of a jump in private sector debt and an increasing use of complex financial instruments. While the IMF increased its forecast for Chinese expansion in 2017 from 6. ...
Holidaymakers urged to buy euros as pound set for PARITY against single currency image
Source : Daily Express [Read Article] Tuesday 15th of August 2017 03:25:00 PM
.... In some exchange bureaus Britons are already getting less than one euro for every pound. Morgan Stanley and HSBC are among the investment banks that forecast the euro will be worth more than the pound in 2018. ...
Mears Group cuts profits forecast in wake of Grenfell Tower fire image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 15th of August 2017 01:00:41 PM
. The UK social housing maintenance company Mears Group has downgraded its profit forecast and slashed its full-year revenue predictions as its clients delay new contracts following the Grenfell Tower fire. ...
Pound V euro: GBP slumps against EUR as UK inflation holds steady image
Source : Daily Express [Read Article] Tuesday 15th of August 2017 11:43:00 AM
....According to data published by Germany’s Federal Statistics Office, the German economy is currently expected to have grown by 0. 6 per cent in the second quarter, the same rate as the start of the year but below economists’ forecasts of 0. ...
REVEALED: House price hotspots - areas where values are BOOMING one year after Brexit vote image
....5 per cent. Experts said growth over the past year, proved that doom-monger forecasts of a house price crash had not come to fruition. ...
UK inflation tipped to rise again with wages forecast to stagnate image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 13th of August 2017 03:28:41 PM
....The squeeze on cash-strapped British households is expected to be illustrated this week byofficial figures likely to show that inflation picked up last month, outstripping growth in pay packets. City economists are forecasting that the consumer price index (CPI) rose at an annual rate of 2. ...
Fox’s chances of securing Sky depend on the football result image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 13th of August 2017 05:59:06 AM
.... “The outcome of the rights auction could materially influence the [profits] Sky makes,” said one analyst. “The City has baked into their forecasts a £600m increase; if you ended up with a much better deal than that, it would have to drive a fundamental reappraisal of Fox’s bid price. ...
Sky faces paying extra £1.8bn for Premier League broadcast rights image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 11th of August 2017 04:10:07 PM
....8bn, or £600m annually, to keep Silicon Valley off the ball. “We expect Sky to pay 40% to 45% more in the next Premier League rights auction,” said Thomas Singlehurst, an analyst at investment bank Citi, who has rounded up his peers’ forecasts. ...
Brexit pain for holidaymakers as pound expected to fall further against euro image
. British holidaymakers should brace themselves for more Brexit pain when they change their pounds into euros, with a leading investment bank forecasting the currencies are on the way to parity. ...
Snapchat takes another hit on Wall Street image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 10th of August 2017 09:38:31 PM
.... The company paid out $242m in stock based payments and associated taxes over the quarter. The mobile app’s revenues rose 153% to $182m, but were below Wall Street forecasts. ...
The experts strike back! How economists are being proved right on Brexit | Barry Eichengreen image
.... And there is little agreement on the severity of its impact. Maybe we would be better off placing less weight on the effects of uncertainty when making forecasts in general, and in the case of Brexit in particular. ...
The rise of electric cars could leave us with a big battery waste problem image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 10th of August 2017 08:15:27 AM
....This means that while electric vehicle batteries might be taken to recycling facilities, there’s no guarantee the lithium itself will be recovered if it doesn’t pay to do so. Investment bank Morgan Stanley in June said it forecast no recycling of lithium at all over the decade ahead, and that there risked being insufficient recycling infrastructure in place when the current wave of batteries die. ...
'Political uncertainty' blamed for slowdown in UK property market image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 10th of August 2017 05:01:28 AM
. The property market has ground to a halt, with activity back to 2011 levels in some parts of the UK, according to the official surveyors’ body, which blamed “political uncertainty” and forecast flat prices and rents for at least the next year. ...
Pay is finally edging up, says Bank of England report image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 9th of August 2017 05:39:17 PM
.... One of the reasons the pair gave justifying a tightening of policy was the expectation that continued jobs growth would put upward pressure on wage inflation. The seven MPC members who supported no change said that, despite positive signs on wage growth, there was not yet enough evidence of a more sustained pick up than that contained in the Bank’s central forecast, which is for average weekly earnings to grow by 2% in 2017, 3% in 2018 and 3. ...
L&G profits rise as UK population dies earlier than expected image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 9th of August 2017 02:09:08 PM
....The company’s profit before tax rose by 41% to £1. 2bn in the first half of 2017, beating City forecasts. ...
Mortgage rates will rise – so 
are you ready 
to take a hit? image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 8th of August 2017 04:52:17 PM
.... Mark Carney, the governor of the Bank of England said they were likely to rise by more than the markets are expecting. In the latest forecast from the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), the thinktank revised its predictions for a hike to the first three months of next year, instead of in 2019 – accelerating the likelihood that mortgage holders will soon be facing higher bills. ...
House price slowdown is excellent news – even if estate agents disagree | Nils Pratley image
.... The only obvious countering pressure is the shortage of homes on the market, which is at all-time low according to the lender. Overall, economists predict house price inflation of 2% this year, a forecast that may even prove to be on the high side. ...
UK house price rises slow to four-year low, says Halifax image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Monday 7th of August 2017 09:54:34 AM
....Halifax said average house prices were still 10% above their peak in August 2007. Brian Murphy, the head of lending for the Mortgage Advice Bureau, said: “House price growth is continuing in line with expectations, with independent industry bodies such as RICS forecasting annual house price growth of between 2% and 4% for 2017. ...
Crane spotters predict leaner times for UK builders image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 6th of August 2017 11:01:05 PM
....The CPA, which represents manufacturers and distributors of construction materials, said the combination of a slowing economy, falling real wages and rising costs would hamper the industry’s prospects in 2018. As a result its economists have lowered their growth forecast for next year from 1. ...
Employment statistics tell skewed story about UK jobs market Katie Allen image
.... The Bank does not see much improvement next year. But it has often been wrong about wage growth, typically making overoptimistic forecasts. ...
Only a big-spending budget can save us from years of low interest rates image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Saturday 5th of August 2017 04:00:16 PM
....”. But he muddied the waters by adding that Brexit uncertainty was partly responsible for a 20% downgrade in its forecast of where the Bank expected investment to be next year. ...
SHOCK WARNING: Interest rates could soon RISE, Bank of England deputy says image
Source : Daily Express [Read Article] Friday 4th of August 2017 04:00:00 PM
....25 per cent a year ago. Mr Broadbent said: "The MPC said given the other assumptions in its forecast it thought probably there would need to be rate rises, and indeed more rate rises than those priced into the interest rate curve in the future than the financial markets expect. ...
US jobs report: Trump given good news as economy adds 209,000 jobs in July image
....3%, a 16-year low. Economists had forecast the US would add 180,000 jobs in July, in line with the average monthly gain for the last six months. ...
Pearson to axe 3,000 jobs after slump at main US business image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 4th of August 2017 06:58:32 AM
....The North American business managed flat growth, with revenue of £1. 28bn, better than forecasts. ...

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