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....The IMF used its annual health check on the world’s second biggest economy to stress that faster expansion in 2017 was coming at the cost of a jump in private sector debt and an increasing use of complex financial instruments. While the IMF increased its forecast for Chinese expansion in 2017 from 6. ... [Read full article on Guardian ]
Tuesday 15th of August 2017 06:37:23 PM
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....We take a look at the housing market around the country and ask where things go from here. Homeowners have so far escaped the house price crash that some forecasters, including the International Monetary Fund, had warned could happen in the event of a Brexit vote. ... [Read full article on Guardian ]
Saturday 12th of August 2017 03:00:48 PM
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....The squeeze on cash-strapped British households is expected to be illustrated this week byofficial figures likely to show that inflation picked up last month, outstripping growth in pay packets. City economists are forecasting that the consumer price index (CPI) rose at an annual rate of 2. ... [Read full article on Guardian ]
Sunday 13th of August 2017 03:28:41 PM
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.... “The outcome of the rights auction could materially influence the [profits] Sky makes,” said one analyst. “The City has baked into their forecasts a £600m increase; if you ended up with a much better deal than that, it would have to drive a fundamental reappraisal of Fox’s bid price. ... [Read full article on Guardian ]
Sunday 13th of August 2017 05:59:06 AM
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Thursday 17th of August 2017 07:14:46 AM
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. The UK social housing maintenance company Mears Group has downgraded its profit forecast and slashed its full-year revenue predictions as its clients delay new contracts following the Grenfell Tower fire. ... [Read full article on Guardian ]
Tuesday 15th of August 2017 01:00:41 PM
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....5 per cent. Experts said growth over the past year, proved that doom-monger forecasts of a house price crash had not come to fruition. ... [Read full article on Daily Express ]
Tuesday 15th of August 2017 09:50:00 AM
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Monday 14th of August 2017 07:28:19 AM
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Latest Finance News related to Forecast

Euro slides on ECB currency concerns - as it happened image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 17th of August 2017 07:14:46 AM
...
Related to :
IMF warns China over 'dangerous' growth in debt image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 15th of August 2017 06:37:23 PM
....The IMF used its annual health check on the world’s second biggest economy to stress that faster expansion in 2017 was coming at the cost of a jump in private sector debt and an increasing use of complex financial instruments. While the IMF increased its forecast for Chinese expansion in 2017 from 6. ...
Holidaymakers urged to buy euros as pound set for PARITY against single currency image
Source : Daily Express [Read Article] Tuesday 15th of August 2017 03:25:00 PM
.... In some exchange bureaus Britons are already getting less than one euro for every pound. Morgan Stanley and HSBC are among the investment banks that forecast the euro will be worth more than the pound in 2018. ...
Mears Group cuts profits forecast in wake of Grenfell Tower fire image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 15th of August 2017 01:00:41 PM
. The UK social housing maintenance company Mears Group has downgraded its profit forecast and slashed its full-year revenue predictions as its clients delay new contracts following the Grenfell Tower fire. ...
Pound V euro: GBP slumps against EUR as UK inflation holds steady image
Source : Daily Express [Read Article] Tuesday 15th of August 2017 11:43:00 AM
....According to data published by Germany’s Federal Statistics Office, the German economy is currently expected to have grown by 0. 6 per cent in the second quarter, the same rate as the start of the year but below economists’ forecasts of 0. ...
REVEALED: House price hotspots - areas where values are BOOMING one year after Brexit vote image
....5 per cent. Experts said growth over the past year, proved that doom-monger forecasts of a house price crash had not come to fruition. ...
UK inflation tipped to rise again with wages forecast to stagnate image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 13th of August 2017 03:28:41 PM
....The squeeze on cash-strapped British households is expected to be illustrated this week byofficial figures likely to show that inflation picked up last month, outstripping growth in pay packets. City economists are forecasting that the consumer price index (CPI) rose at an annual rate of 2. ...
Fox’s chances of securing Sky depend on the football result image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 13th of August 2017 05:59:06 AM
.... “The outcome of the rights auction could materially influence the [profits] Sky makes,” said one analyst. “The City has baked into their forecasts a £600m increase; if you ended up with a much better deal than that, it would have to drive a fundamental reappraisal of Fox’s bid price. ...
Sky faces paying extra £1.8bn for Premier League broadcast rights image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 11th of August 2017 04:10:07 PM
....8bn, or £600m annually, to keep Silicon Valley off the ball. “We expect Sky to pay 40% to 45% more in the next Premier League rights auction,” said Thomas Singlehurst, an analyst at investment bank Citi, who has rounded up his peers’ forecasts. ...
Brexit pain for holidaymakers as pound expected to fall further against euro image
. British holidaymakers should brace themselves for more Brexit pain when they change their pounds into euros, with a leading investment bank forecasting the currencies are on the way to parity. ...
Snapchat takes another hit on Wall Street image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 10th of August 2017 09:38:31 PM
.... The company paid out $242m in stock based payments and associated taxes over the quarter. The mobile app’s revenues rose 153% to $182m, but were below Wall Street forecasts. ...
The experts strike back! How economists are being proved right on Brexit | Barry Eichengreen image
.... And there is little agreement on the severity of its impact. Maybe we would be better off placing less weight on the effects of uncertainty when making forecasts in general, and in the case of Brexit in particular. ...
The rise of electric cars could leave us with a big battery waste problem image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 10th of August 2017 08:15:27 AM
....This means that while electric vehicle batteries might be taken to recycling facilities, there’s no guarantee the lithium itself will be recovered if it doesn’t pay to do so. Investment bank Morgan Stanley in June said it forecast no recycling of lithium at all over the decade ahead, and that there risked being insufficient recycling infrastructure in place when the current wave of batteries die. ...
'Political uncertainty' blamed for slowdown in UK property market image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 10th of August 2017 05:01:28 AM
. The property market has ground to a halt, with activity back to 2011 levels in some parts of the UK, according to the official surveyors’ body, which blamed “political uncertainty” and forecast flat prices and rents for at least the next year. ...
Pay is finally edging up, says Bank of England report image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 9th of August 2017 05:39:17 PM
.... One of the reasons the pair gave justifying a tightening of policy was the expectation that continued jobs growth would put upward pressure on wage inflation. The seven MPC members who supported no change said that, despite positive signs on wage growth, there was not yet enough evidence of a more sustained pick up than that contained in the Bank’s central forecast, which is for average weekly earnings to grow by 2% in 2017, 3% in 2018 and 3. ...
L&G profits rise as UK population dies earlier than expected image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 9th of August 2017 02:09:08 PM
....The company’s profit before tax rose by 41% to £1. 2bn in the first half of 2017, beating City forecasts. ...
Mortgage rates will rise – so 
are you ready 
to take a hit? image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 8th of August 2017 04:52:17 PM
.... Mark Carney, the governor of the Bank of England said they were likely to rise by more than the markets are expecting. In the latest forecast from the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), the thinktank revised its predictions for a hike to the first three months of next year, instead of in 2019 – accelerating the likelihood that mortgage holders will soon be facing higher bills. ...
House price slowdown is excellent news – even if estate agents disagree | Nils Pratley image
.... The only obvious countering pressure is the shortage of homes on the market, which is at all-time low according to the lender. Overall, economists predict house price inflation of 2% this year, a forecast that may even prove to be on the high side. ...
UK house price rises slow to four-year low, says Halifax image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Monday 7th of August 2017 09:54:34 AM
....Halifax said average house prices were still 10% above their peak in August 2007. Brian Murphy, the head of lending for the Mortgage Advice Bureau, said: “House price growth is continuing in line with expectations, with independent industry bodies such as RICS forecasting annual house price growth of between 2% and 4% for 2017. ...
Crane spotters predict leaner times for UK builders image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 6th of August 2017 11:01:05 PM
....The CPA, which represents manufacturers and distributors of construction materials, said the combination of a slowing economy, falling real wages and rising costs would hamper the industry’s prospects in 2018. As a result its economists have lowered their growth forecast for next year from 1. ...
Employment statistics tell skewed story about UK jobs market Katie Allen image
.... The Bank does not see much improvement next year. But it has often been wrong about wage growth, typically making overoptimistic forecasts. ...
Only a big-spending budget can save us from years of low interest rates image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Saturday 5th of August 2017 04:00:16 PM
....”. But he muddied the waters by adding that Brexit uncertainty was partly responsible for a 20% downgrade in its forecast of where the Bank expected investment to be next year. ...
SHOCK WARNING: Interest rates could soon RISE, Bank of England deputy says image
Source : Daily Express [Read Article] Friday 4th of August 2017 04:00:00 PM
....25 per cent a year ago. Mr Broadbent said: "The MPC said given the other assumptions in its forecast it thought probably there would need to be rate rises, and indeed more rate rises than those priced into the interest rate curve in the future than the financial markets expect. ...
US jobs report: Trump given good news as economy adds 209,000 jobs in July image
....3%, a 16-year low. Economists had forecast the US would add 180,000 jobs in July, in line with the average monthly gain for the last six months. ...
Pearson to axe 3,000 jobs after slump at main US business image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 4th of August 2017 06:58:32 AM
....The North American business managed flat growth, with revenue of £1. 28bn, better than forecasts. ...
How Britain fell out of love with the free market image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 4th of August 2017 05:00:34 AM
....” One symptom of the latter, he says, has been a rupture between big business and the main British political parties. But this is not the first time that the economic failings and social costs of neoliberalism have led people to forecast its demise. ...
Dow soars to record high as it crosses 22,000 mark for the first time image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 2nd of August 2017 02:17:50 PM
.... Meanwhile, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are also near record highs. This latest Wall Street surge has been helped by forecast-beating results from Apple, which also pleased investors by dismissing suggestions its forthcoming iPhone 8 could be delayed. ...
Dow breaks through 22,000, boosted by Apple - business live image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 2nd of August 2017 07:53:31 AM
Ireland's departing UK ambassador shares 'sadness' over Brexit image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 2nd of August 2017 06:00:39 AM
....”. On future relations between the UK and the EU, he forecast that remaining in the customs union was an option because Theresa May’s remarks on this issues were “nuanced” in her Lancaster House speech. ...
UK economy is about to surge back to life, says leading forecaster image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 1st of August 2017 11:01:30 PM
. Britain’s economy will surge back to life in the next six months following its slow start this year, a leading forecaster has predicted, prompting the Bank of England to raise interest rates next spring – more than a year earlier than its previous projection. ...
Apple hints iPhone 8 won't be delayed as company's shares hit record high image
.... According to the company’s latest quarterly earnings report, Apple expects revenues between $49bn and $52bn for the final quarter of the year, when the new iPhone is expected to be released. That figure beat previous forecasts. ...
House prices stabilise as number of homes on the market falls image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 1st of August 2017 12:13:12 PM
....Gardner pointed to surveys which show that the number of properties coming on to the market is slowing, and the number of homes on estate agents’ books is close to a 30-year low. But with household budgets under pressure, and wage growth failing to keep up with the cost of living, Nationwide is forecasting “subdued” housing market activity, and says prices are likely to rise by just 2% over the whole of 2017. ...
Last-minute talks bid to halt first Bank of England strike in 50 years image
....25%, and on Thursday is due to present the Bank’s inflation report. The inflation report will contain the Bank’s latest economic forecasts. ...
Chancellor appoints Sir David Ramsden to Bank of England deputy role image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 27th of July 2017 05:28:15 PM
.... A keen cyclist, he is known to value a range of opinions and has spoken in favour of a more pluralist approach to the way universities teach economics. However, it was his department that produced the economic forecasts that paved the way for Osborne’s austerity programme which critics argue has left the economy in a weaker situation almost a decade after the 2008 financial crash. ...
Richard Branson cedes control of Virgin Atlantic image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 27th of July 2017 05:01:06 PM
.... Delta bought a 49% stake in Virgin in 2013 – a move that BA’s chief executive, Willie Walsh, predicted would end in Branson ceding control within five years. Virgin Atlantic edged into profit from 2014 to 2016, but had forecast losses this year on the back of the Brexit referendum and the fall in sterling. ...
Turkey is popular again with British tourists, says Thomas Cook image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 27th of July 2017 03:04:18 PM
.... An increase in capacity in Spain is affecting tour operators’ margins in the country, and Thomas Cook said prices were under pressure from the intense competition. The tour operator reported a 14% rise in revenues for the third quarter and said strong demand for summer bookings would continue into winter, adding that its full-year operating profit would be in line with forecasts. ...
Aberdeen to be worst hit by Brexit but all British cities will suffer – report image
....Aberdeen emerged as the city likely to be most affected in either scenario due to the impact of increasing costs on its oil sector, with a 3. 7% forecast decrease in GVA in the case of a hard Brexit, and 2. ...
How about a little accountability for economists when they mess up? | Dean Baker image
.... It is also worth noting that CBO’s numbers are useful here not only because they are seen as authoritative, but they are in the center of the profession by design. CBO raises or lowers its numbers if they are out of line with the consensus of economic forecasters. ...
AstraZeneca shares dive after failure in key lung cancer drug trial image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 27th of July 2017 07:36:16 AM
....”. However, many City analysts are doubtful that the final results from the Mystic trials in 2018 will be much better for a therapy that was forecast to have peak sales of $4bn in 2023. ...
Amazon and iPlayer expect summer holiday surge in downloads image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 27th of July 2017 06:11:42 AM
....Amazon UK is predicting that pre-holiday downloading of films, TV shows, ebooks and video games will peak on Friday, which it is calling “download day”, and that consumption of downloaded content will be at its height on Wednesday 2 August. With the Met Office forecasting unsettled weather continuing across much of the UK next week, it sounds like a reasonable prediction for staycationers, at least. ...
Greece's €3bn bond sale doesn't mean its debt crisis is at an end | Nils Pratley image
....Very admirable in theory, but it’s not how everybody views the details. The executives would still get 49% of their jackpot just for hitting City consensus forecasts, noted ISS. ...
UK factory output grows at fastest rate since mid-1990s image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 25th of July 2017 03:24:14 PM
....”. Howard Archer, the chief economic adviser to the EY Item Club forecasting group, was also sceptical about the rosy picture painted by the CBI survey. ...
Guardian Media Group cuts losses by more than a third image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 25th of July 2017 08:00:00 AM
....GMG paid £622,000 in charitable donations and gifts in kind to the Guardian Foundation, an increase of more than 10% over the previous year. After the newspaper operation breaks even, GMG forecasts it will continue to make a sustainable loss – in the low teens of millions of pounds – relating to pension contributions, capital expenditure and endowment fund costs. ...
TNT parcels 'backed up to ceiling' in wake of massive cyberattack image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 25th of July 2017 05:34:00 AM
....The majority of its systems and key manufacturing sites are now producing at near full capacity, but Reckitt said it had not yet returned to normal operations everywhere. It has cut its full-year sales forecast earlier this month from growth of 3% to 2%. ...
The IMF is right to downgrade its forecast for the UK | Larry Elliott and Nils Pratley image
....The IMF was not, of course, the only organisation that failed to spot economic armageddon coming – merely the one with the highest number of PhDs on the books. But if the fund’s patchy past record means all its forecasts should be treated with caution, its growth downgrade for the UK looks perfectly reasonable. ...
Travellers are taking advantage of bag rules to avoid fees, says Ryanair image
....Fewer than one passenger in six now pays to check in luggage on Ryanair. Fares have been driven down as airlines compete to fill their planes; Ryanair is forecasting a further 7% fall in the next 12 months following a 13% drop in average fares from 2016 to 2017. ...
Ryanair profits take off but airline reissues Brexit warning image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Monday 24th of July 2017 08:55:10 AM
....”. Ryanair expects to carry 131 million passengers in the 12 months to March 2018, 1 million more than previously estimated, but stuck to its full-year forecast of post-tax profit of €1. ...
The UK ignores China's trillion-dollar Belt and Road plan at its peril | Colin Cram image
.... The M6 is hopelessly overloaded, while the business case for the proposed upgrade of the key trans-Pennine route between Sheffield and Manchester, with its mile-long queues for much of the day, was proposed in 1960 and is hopelessly out of date. It assumes traffic growth of only 3-6% in four years, below the forecast economic growth. ...
Brexit economy: sterling fall hits public finances and fails to boost trade image
....Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit said: “With the economy showing signs of losing momentum and inflation showing a surprise fall to 2. 6%, the latest data suggest that August could well see the Bank of England revise down its forecasts for the economy and put to bed the prospect of a rate hike any time soon, albeit with the door left open for a tightening of policy if the economic data surprise to the upside as we move through the second half of the year. ...
IMF cuts 2017 growth forecasts for UK and US image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Monday 24th of July 2017 04:45:27 AM
. The International Monetary Fund has cut its growth forecast for the UK economy this year after a weak performance in the first three months of 2017. ...
Number of firms issuing profit warnings falls - but there may be worse to come image
.... This is the biggest quarterly percentage drop since the second quarter of 2009. A stronger-than-expected global economic backdrop and falling forecasts have combined to significantly lower warnings, according to the report. ...
Banks and companies plan expansion in Frankfurt after Brexit image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 21st of July 2017 05:53:07 PM
....Frankfurt, home to the European Central Bank and the German Bundesbank, already hosts the biggest European operations of US investment banks outside London. Researchers at the Bruegel thinktank have forecast that Frankfurt will take the biggest share of London’s post-Brexit business in a report that predicted the loss of 30,000 jobs in the City. ...
Budget deficit leaps as Brexit-fuelled inflation troubles Hammond image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 21st of July 2017 11:29:19 AM
....9bn – almost 50% higher than the same month last year. The sharp rise followed a spike in the cost of financing the UK’s debt, a drop in corporation tax receipts and a larger than forecast contribution to the EU in June. ...
The promise of a new era at Sports Direct must also mean new personnel image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 20th of July 2017 06:48:36 PM
....Look, he’s finally hired a permanent finance director, one Jon Kempster, after three years of stand-ins. Following a year in which profits fell almost 60%, Ashley is also making an investor-pleasing forecast of improvements in the pipeline: top-line earnings are predicted to improve 5-15% this year. ...
Mr Kipling maker hit by shoppers' switch to own-label products image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 20th of July 2017 08:29:00 AM
....The company has also been hit by rising costs linked to the fall in the pound since the Brexit vote. Premier stuck to its forecasts for the full year, saying it would return to sales growth in the second quarter and post flat sales for the first half. ...
Mike Ashley brushes off 60% dive in profits as shares in Sports Direct rise image
....But shares in the retailer closed up nearly 11. 5% at 335p as it announced the appointment of a finance director for the first time since 2013 and forecast that earnings for the year ahead would rise by between 5% and 15%. ...
Shares in Asia head for 10-year high on back of US profit surge image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 20th of July 2017 04:19:56 AM
....83 to the dollar early on Thursday. The Bank of Japan ended its two-day policy meeting on Thursday by keeping rates on hold but cut its inflation forecasts again. ...
UK business confidence at lowest point for six years, say forecasters image
. The UK needs to prepare itself for weaker economic performance, two major forecasting groups have said, in the latest studies predicting the downsides of the Brexit vote. ...
Rise in credit card default rate adds to concerns over household finances image
.... This will particularly affect people who only have a small deposit for their house. Howard Archer, the chief economic adviser to forecasting group EY Item Club, said it was crucial that banks acted responsibly at a time when consumer finances were stretched. ...
UK public finances face twin threat from Brexit and downturn, says OBR image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 13th of July 2017 12:07:53 PM
. Britain’s public finances are in worse shape to withstand a recession than they were on the eve of the 2007 financial crash a decade ago and face the twin threat of a fresh downturn and Brexit, the Treasury’s independent forecaster has warned. ...

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