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....At his budget earlier this month, Philip Hammond was able to announce a brighter outlook for growth this year from the government’s independent forecasters. The Office for Budget Responsibility raised its forecast for GDP growth this year to 2% from 1. ... [Read full article on Guardian ]
Friday 24th of March 2017 10:30:30 AM
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Latest Finance News related to GDP Growth

Brexit economy: UK faces squeeze on living standards image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 24th of March 2017 10:30:30 AM
....At his budget earlier this month, Philip Hammond was able to announce a brighter outlook for growth this year from the government’s independent forecasters. The Office for Budget Responsibility raised its forecast for GDP growth this year to 2% from 1. ...
Trump must convert surging US confidence into real growth | Mohamed El-Erian image
. Financial markets seem convinced that the recent surge in business and consumer confidence in the US economy will soon be reflected in “hard” data, such as GDP growth, business investment, consumption, and wages. ...
Aberdeen wrestles with hard choices as independence looms again image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Saturday 18th of March 2017 03:59:43 PM
.... Now that it is largely spent, both as a reservoir of flammable carbon and as a source of tax revenues, an independent Scotland would need to look elsewhere for growth. In the years since the oil price collapsed and the industry went into decline, Scotland’s GDP growth has flatlined. ...
UK economy will grow more strongly than expected, says BCC image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 14th of March 2017 07:01:15 AM
....But in its latest set of economic forecasts, published as the UK prepares to embark on Brexit negotiations, the business group cut its outlook for 2018 and warned higher inflation would take a chunk out of household budgets. The BCC joined other bodies in raising its outlook for the UK’s GDP growth this year after a stronger-than-expected close to 2016 and signs of resilience to the Brexit vote among businesses and consumers. ...
Get ready for food inflation to take a bite out of growth | Vicky Pryce image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 8th of March 2017 12:37:50 PM
.... If more and more of people’s incomes – lower paid people’s incomes, especially – is diverted to survival, the boost given to the economy from general household spending will be reduced. The Bank of England’s latest forecast upped GDP growth to 2% for this year, in the expectation that households would dip further into their savings to continue the spending spree we have been witnessing. ...
Chancellor's budget to build up Brexit reserves, not tackle NHS crisis image
....7bn since January 2016, the ONS said. Recent reports appear to show that the economic strength seen after the Brexit vote, which put the UK’s GDP growth in the front rank of developed nations, may be faltering. ...
A budget in the shadow of Brexit leaves Hammond short of choices image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Saturday 4th of March 2017 07:11:34 PM
.... This week the Treasury’s independent forecaster is expected to say that a surge in growth at the end of last year, and the strength of tax receipts, has cut borrowing by around £10bn, almost to the level expected before the referendum. That is not just good news for the government finances in the current year, it also provides a higher baseline for projections of GDP growth over the rest of the parliament, possibly boosting the government’s coffers by as much as £30bn–£40bn. ...
Sorry, Brexit doomsayers, the outlook is good on global growth image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Saturday 4th of March 2017 05:00:20 PM
....The doomsayers may yet have their day. Theresa May could lead Britain to a position where it leaves the EU, the single market and the customs union with terrible consequences for trade, business investment and GDP growth. ...
A budget in the shadow of Brexit leaves Hammond short of choices image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Saturday 4th of March 2017 04:04:00 PM
.... This week the Treasury’s independent forecaster is expected to say that a surge in growth at the end of last year, and the strength of tax receipts, has cut borrowing by around £10bn, almost to the level expected before the referendum. That is not just good news for the government finances in the current year, it also provides a higher baseline for projections of GDP growth over the rest of the parliament, possibly boosting the government’s coffers by as much as £30bn–£40bn. ...
Creative sector fills UK coffers as money pours into film and TV production image
....At a time when the British economy is looking for leadership, step forward Darth Vader, Adele and Queen Victoria. One of the reasons GDP growth has stayed robust since the EU referendum is the UK’s creative sector, which has produced buoyant box office receipts thanks to Star Wars, healthy sales of Adele’s latest album and global demand for homegrown TV productions such as Victoria. ...
UK economy cooling after post-Brexit vote growth, surveys show image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 3rd of March 2017 11:12:26 AM
....Britain’s economy is cooling fast, according to the latest surveys of the services, manufacturing and construction sectors, bolstering expectations that the Bank of England will leave interest rates at their record low for the rest of this year and beyond. Coming days before Philip Hammond’s spring budget, the figures add to evidence that the economic strength seen in after the Brexit vote, which put the UK’s GDP growth in the front rank of developed nations, is now faltering. ...
UK economy 'loses momentum' as services growth slows image
Source : BBC [Read Article] Friday 3rd of March 2017 10:08:51 AM
Australia avoids recession as GDP grows 1.1% in December quarter image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 1st of March 2017 12:43:59 AM
....The ABS found that household final consumption expenditure contributed 0. 5% to GDP growth and net exports a further 0. ...
Hitting rock bottom image
Source : BBC [Read Article] Wednesday 1st of March 2017 12:07:40 AM
...."In an increasingly knowledge based and services driven global economic expansion, the trade expansion is stagnating," he wrote. "The global manufacturing engines, world trade, credit driven GDP growth model is being increasingly challenged and world trade seems to be stuck in a time warp, barely growing. ...
Spring budget 2017: drop in government borrowing predicted image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 28th of February 2017 12:01:13 AM
.... Forecasts from the fiscal watchdog, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), published at the statement in November suggested a blow to the economy from the Brexit vote would force the government to borrow an extra £122bn over the next five years compared with the outlook before the UK voted to leave the EU. Assessing the news of stronger-than-expected GDP growth and tax receipts since then, the Resolution Foundation expects the OBR to give Hammond a brighter outlook to announce next week. ...
Germany overtakes UK as fastest-growing G7 economy image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 23rd of February 2017 03:21:32 PM
....German economy was marked by strong and steady growth during 2016, with GDP increasing 1. 9% - highest rate of GDP growth among G7 countries. ...
UK economy grows faster than thought image
Source : BBC [Read Article] Wednesday 22nd of February 2017 11:45:29 AM
.... . "Excluding oil and gas output, estimated UK GDP growth might actually have been revised up in 2016," added Mr Hawksworth. ...
Brexit economy: can consumers keep shoring up the UK? image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 22nd of February 2017 10:41:44 AM
....The pressure on household finances bodes ill for the wider economy where consumer spending has been the main driver of relatively robust growth, helping the UK outperform all the other Group of Seven (G7) advanced economies last year. Figures today confirmed that the economy finished 2016 on a strong note, with the GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter nudged up to 0. ...
Lloyds reports biggest profits since financial crash image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 22nd of February 2017 08:49:43 AM
....Even so Horta-Osório was pleased with the performance. “Given our UK focus, our performance is inextricably linked to the health of the UK economy, which has been more resilient than the market expected post-referendum, with GDP growth of 2% in 2016. ...
Made in the UK goods could cost more as import prices rise image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Monday 20th of February 2017 01:17:41 PM
....Gregory said: “Admittedly, the drop in the pound is having a clear impact on price pressures, with the price expectations balance rising to its highest in nearly six years. “But the sector looks on course to provide a positive contribution to GDP growth in the first quarter. ...
UK tax burden will soar to highest level for 30 years, warns IFS image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 7th of February 2017 10:00:11 AM
....But slower economic growth after the Brexit vote and lower than expected tax receipts will still leave the UK with one of the largest shortfalls in public spending in the developed world, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies. The leading tax and spending thinktank said downgrades in GDP growth over the next four years would strain the public finances, which are already on course to be £13bn worse off in this financial year than forecast. ...
Strong dollar drags US growth to slowest pace since 2011 image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 27th of January 2017 02:15:35 PM
....6% growth in 2015. Analysts said the uncertainty surrounding the outcome of last year’s presidential election and the UK’s Brexit vote meant that forecasts of trade and GDP growth were becoming cloudy and less predictable. ...
UK GDP figures show solid end to 2016 despite Brexit vote image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 26th of January 2017 03:13:11 PM
....”. The ONS said fourth-quarter GDP growth was dominated by services (worth nearly 80% of the economy), with a strong contribution from retail sales and travel agency services as consumers continued to spend in shops and online. ...
UK GDP preview: sharp slowdown expected in 2017 image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 22nd of January 2017 03:54:01 PM
....Official figures this week are expected to provide fresh evidence that the UK economy remained resilient in the face of Brexit uncertainty at the close of 2016 but economists warn Britain is headed for a sharp slowdown this year. After confounding most economic forecasters with solid GDP growth of 0. ...
Utopian ideas on climate change will get us precisely nowhere image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 22nd of January 2017 09:00:00 AM
.... Telling them to switch off this desire has never worked and is unlikely to do so now, even when the future of the planet is at stake. In this vein, the accession of Donald Trump to the presidential throne should not be read as a spectacular one-off reaction by a narrow, if electorally important group who missed out on GDP growth. ...
UK house price average surges by £4,000 in December image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Monday 9th of January 2017 11:20:19 AM
....Economist Howard Archer of IHS Global Insight raised his forecast for 2017 house prices from zero to 2%. “This is a modest upward revision from our previous forecast of flat house prices in 2017 due to the fact that house prices are carrying more momentum into 2017 than we had expected and also the fact that we have slightly upgraded our UK GDP growth forecast for 2017 to 1. ...
No one can afford to stop the new consumer credit crisis image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 8th of January 2017 07:05:11 AM
....Except that the Bank of England knows most people’s incomes have flatlined for years. It need look no further than official figures, which make it clear that the vast majority have missed out on the gains from GDP growth. ...
Crash 'was crisis moment for economists' image
Source : BBC [Read Article] Thursday 5th of January 2017 11:13:41 PM
....The Bank of England and the Treasury were accused by Brexit campaigners - including two former Conservative chancellors - of "peddling phoney forecasts and scare stories" during the EU referendum campaign to "frighten the electorate into voting Remain". Since the referendum, the UK economy has so far not performed as predicted, with GDP growth at a better-than-expected 0. ...
UK services sector grows at fastest pace for more than a year image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 5th of January 2017 10:56:43 AM
....“Nonetheless, the support provided to activity from a lower pound and rock-bottom interest rates should prevent growth from slowing too sharply. Overall, our forecast is for GDP growth to ease from around 2. ...
UK service sector sees strong expansion in December image
Source : BBC [Read Article] Thursday 5th of January 2017 10:10:20 AM
....Earlier in the week, surveys in the construction and manufacturing sectors indicated a similar pattern of growth. Mr Williamson said that collectively, the surveys pointed to GDP growth of 0. ...
Strong services survey points to robust GDP growth at year-end  – business live image
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UK economy ends 2016 on high – but rising import prices starting to bite image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 5th of January 2017 12:01:34 AM
....The BCC said businesses turned a corner in the fourth quarter after a fall in confidence in the previous three months. Echoing official figures that showed GDP growth was among the highest in the developed world, the BCC found that the economy remained robust in the last few months of the year in part due to the boost from the lower pound, which made British exports cheaper. ...
A tumultuous year: the 2016 global economy in 10 charts image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 30th of December 2016 04:04:05 PM
....The year began with fresh concerns about the extent of China’s economic slowdown, sending shockwaves through global markets. Economists expect GDP growth for the full year to come in at under 7% again and fall further next year, in a marked contrast to the expansion of 14% experienced a decade ago. ...
UK firms' finance bosses say uncertainty is 'new normal' image
Source : BBC [Read Article] Thursday 29th of December 2016 12:10:57 AM
.... . A survey by Deloitte found that 27% of 119 finance directors whom the accountancy firm questioned in the fourth quarter were more optimistic, helped by better GDP growth. ...
UK GDP growth better than expected in Brexit vote aftermath image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 23rd of December 2016 09:52:37 AM
....Britain’s economy grew faster than previously thought in the three months after the EU referendum, underlining the miscalculations by the Treasury and other forecasters who predicted that the UK would suffer a recession following a vote for Brexit. Official figures showed GDP growth in the third quarter rose by 0. ...
CBI health check reveals UK Christmas shopping splurge image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 20th of December 2016 12:01:18 PM
....”. James Knightley, senior economist at ING, said the CBI suggested “consumer spending will again make a big contribution to 4Q GDP growth. ...
Trump must overcome global barriers to deliver his economic promise | Mohamed El-Erian image
....Trump has established infrastructure investment, tax reform, and deregulation as central components of his strategy to boost the US economy’s actual and potential growth. Confident that his plan can unfold as intended, he has set ambitious targets, including GDP growth approaching 4% a year. ...
UK big business to expand workforces in 2017 despite Brexit fears, says CBI image
....The survey follows a steep fall in employment growth in recent months according to official figures and concerns among economists and ministers that a squeeze on workers’ incomes next year will undermine the UK’s recovery. The Office for National Statistics will publish its third estimate of GDP growth in the three months to the end of September later this week, which is expected to confirm the previous figure of 0. ...
ECB surprises markets by scaling back QE programme image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 8th of December 2016 02:12:11 PM
....The central bank is expecting only modest economic growth for the eurozone over coming years. It believes GDP growth this year will come in at 1. ...
UK industrial production falls at worst rate in four years image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 7th of December 2016 11:47:24 AM
....5% in the third quarter. Archer said: “We had believed that there was a good chance that UK GDP growth in the fourth quarter could match the resilient 0. ...
UK manufacturing falls in October, ONS figures show image
Source : BBC [Read Article] Wednesday 7th of December 2016 10:21:58 AM
...."The increase can largely be attributed to continued maintenance to the Buzzard oilfield in the North Sea," the ONS said. Commentators pointed out that the fall in industrial production dealt a blow to the UK's GDP growth prospects in the final three months of the year. ...
UK service sector recovers after Brexit dip but inflation looms image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 6th of December 2016 06:01:04 AM
....5% in the final three months of the year based on the service sector report and its polls of the smaller construction and manufacturing sectors last week. That would match the pace of GDP growth in the third quarter and defy economists’ post-referendum warnings of a sharp slowdown this year. ...
Demand is weak and investment’s faltering. That’s OK then image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 4th of December 2016 07:00:07 AM
.... Could it be that rising inflation will spoil the party? Only a few weeks ago, Theresa May, Philip Hammond and the rest of the cabinet could have been forgiven for worrying about the impact of inflation after most economic forecasters predicted it was about to send shop prices sky-rocketing. And, worse, more of the same is expected next year, with rising prices eating into disposable incomes to more than halve Britain’s GDP growth rate. ...
Bank of England must be wary of interest rate rise, says chief economist image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 2nd of December 2016 02:37:12 PM
....“That configuration now leaves me comfortable with the current stance of monetary policy, with no bias on the direction of the next move in interest rates,” he said. In a speech to the Materials Processing Institute in the North Yorkshire town of Redcar, Haldane said GDP growth, which came in at 0. ...
Protectionism and trade disputes threaten world growth, says OECD image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Monday 28th of November 2016 10:00:26 AM
.... Now the problem with trade has been the distribution of the gains from trade and this has always been known … and the fabric of domestic policies has not addressed that,” she said. On the tax and spending side, the OECD’s forecasters said they expected stimulus measures from the US government would raise US GDP growth by around 0. ...
Rising costs and slower consumer spending hit service sector, says CBI image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Monday 28th of November 2016 12:01:14 AM
.... It has kept the economy moving ahead over the last couple of years while the manufacturing and construction industries have spent time in recession. The trend for increased spending on leisure activities and one-off events has proved a standout feature of the UK’s GDP growth, with hotels experiencing a boom in short-stay breaks. ...
China's property frenzy and surging debt raises red flag for economy image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Sunday 27th of November 2016 06:52:01 AM
....But the transition is proving painful as growth rates sit at 25-year lows and key indicators continue to come in below par, weighing on the global outlook. Authorities “desperate” to keep GDP growth steady have turned to consumers as a source of finance because “many of the sources of capital through the banks and corporations are essentially used up”, Andrew Collier of Orient Capital Research told AFP. ...
GDP growth confirmed in three months after Brexit vote image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Friday 25th of November 2016 11:21:29 AM
....But the data also confirmed earlier estimates showing that the construction sector had fallen into a technical recession, contracting for two straight quarters, while output was down for manufacturers and the wider industrial sector. The ONS said that since the referendum in June, GDP growth had been in line with recent trends, suggesting “limited effect so far” from the referendum. ...
A guide to the Guardian's full autumn statement coverage image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 24th of November 2016 12:00:37 PM
....Philip Hammond admits Brexit vote means £122bn extra borrowingLabour describes long-term economic plan as an abject failure after chancellor uses autumn statement to defer the balancing of the books. Eight charts to help you understand the autumn statementWhat you need to know from the OBR’s latest forecasts, from the government spending deficit to GDP growth. ...
Chancellor's looser finance targets highlight weaker UK economy image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 24th of November 2016 08:00:28 AM
....The government’s decision to trigger negotiations with the European Union in March and begin two years of talks is built into the latest forecast by the Office for Budget Responsibility. The OBR, which produces twice yearly forecasts of the economy and public finances, said the talks could result in several outcomes for trade with the European Union and GDP growth, adding huge uncertainty to an economic outlook that runs until 2021. ...
Autumn Statement: Hammond defends post-Brexit economy forecasts image
Source : BBC [Read Article] Thursday 24th of November 2016 02:13:49 AM
....The Economists for Brexit group predicted more "humiliating U-turns" from the OBR, saying it had "assumed a pessimistic outlook for the UK economy outside the EU, based on bad economic policy-making". Conservative MP John Redwood, who also supported Brexit, added: "Their [GDP growth] forecast probably is too low, their borrowing forecast is far too high, and we'll get good access to the single market once we're out of the EU. ...
Dear prudence comes home as May praises autumn statement image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 23rd of November 2016 12:13:48 PM
....60 figure that the independent Office for Budget Responsibility estimates would be necessary for it to stay on course to match the pledge of £9 an hour by 2020. However, the modest measures for “just about managing” families, known as “Jams”, are expected to be accompanied by sharply weaker forecasts for GDP growth and the public finances. ...
Autumn statement: Hammond to crack down on letting fees image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 22nd of November 2016 10:15:47 PM
....Other measures designed to target the so-called Jams include:. Hammond is also expected to use the first major financial statement of a chancellorship likely to be dominated by Brexit to announce sharply weaker forecasts for GDP growth and the public finances. ...
The Brexit economy: remarkable resilience as spectre of inflation looms image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 22nd of November 2016 01:30:21 PM
.... The incoming data so far though are mixed as it is early days post the Brexit vote,” said Blanchflower, professor of economics at Dartmouth College in the US. “GDP growth isn’t set to slow sharply in the fourth quarter of 2016 but 2017 is likely a different matter. ...
Government borrowing falls on record October tax take image
Source : BBC [Read Article] Tuesday 22nd of November 2016 10:38:31 AM
.... . Despite October's improvement, Samuel Tombs, of Pantheon Macroeconomics, says it doesn't compensate for the weak start to the year: "The higher-than-expected starting point for borrowing this year and weaker projections for GDP growth will compel the OBR to revise up sharply its forecast for borrowing in future years. ...
North of England loses 310,000 graduates in 10-year brain drain image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Saturday 19th of November 2016 09:02:23 PM
....He will say that rising inflation, lower than expected investment and limited wages growth will hit the exchequer with an extra bill of around £100bn by 2020. GDP growth is due to fall to about 1. ...
Autumn statement: safeguard public investment, say experts image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 17th of November 2016 08:00:31 PM
....The OBR has drawn up forecasts that will be presented next week alongside the autumn statement, which is expected to reflect the sharp deterioration in the outlook for next year and subsequent years. Most forecasters believe GDP growth will fall to about 1. ...
Does Trump’s election spell globalisation's end? image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Thursday 17th of November 2016 03:43:16 PM
....Causality in economics may be elusive, but in this case it is clear. So far, slower trade growth has been the result of slower GDP growth, not the other way around. ...
Unemployment falls to 11-year low image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Wednesday 16th of November 2016 03:07:31 PM
....The Bank of England, the International Monetary Fund and Paris-based thinktank the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) had all predicted that a UK vote to leave the EU would take its toll on employers and push up unemployment. Most forecasters now expect GDP growth to slow and inflation to rise in the coming months, overtaking wage rises and threatening the living standards of most workers during 2017. ...
Mark Carney: political attacks on central banks are a deflection exercise image
Source : Guardian [Read Article] Tuesday 15th of November 2016 03:37:39 PM
....Several Bank of England officials appeared with Carney before a sometimes hostile group of MPs to defend their record since the Brexit vote. The Bank recently revised up its GDP growth forecasts to 2. ...
German economy slows in third quarter image
Source : BBC [Read Article] Tuesday 15th of November 2016 08:20:49 AM
...." . Signs of slowing economies also emerged in other European countries, with GDP growth coming in below forecast for Norway, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary. ...

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